Coronavirus impact

Currently reading
Coronavirus impact

jeyare

Moderator
Supporter
903
338
NAS
1811+, 3x 1813+, 718+, 214play ... multisite Ubiquiti Unifi networks (USG-Pro,PoE,NanoHD)
Operating system
Linux, Windows
Mobile operating system
Android, iOS
Some news from data interpretation:
- Italy - every from 20 regions are in decrease trend with Median of 7 days daily increment
1585152039748.png

- Lombardy - first time gets this Median under 10%, now is 5,7%. Perfect for them
- Median of test success in Italy is just about 1,6% till now, it was never higher than 3,3%. Must be a reason of such small efficiency (too much pointless tests based on panic, low-quality tests, ...), even Lombardy have just max 5.6% positive test ratio. This is the reason, how is right approach of testing necessary.
- Death toll in Italy is really high and too different between regions. See to the chart below - orange line. When Lombardy has 13,6%, near Veneto just 3.6% (also member of Top 4 infected regions in Italy).

1585134116613.png
 
522
180
NAS
DS418play, DS213j, DSM 7.0.1-14401
It seems we are headed to a world akin to what Philip K Dick wrote about in The Penultimate Truth.
 

jeyare

Moderator
Supporter
903
338
NAS
1811+, 3x 1813+, 718+, 214play ... multisite Ubiquiti Unifi networks (USG-Pro,PoE,NanoHD)
Operating system
Linux, Windows
Mobile operating system
Android, iOS
The Corona epidemic has taught us to be much more human than before. I've spent almost 3 weeks with my family and working from home now. We only go outside the house for walks and (inevitably) buying what can't be purchased over the internet. I, however was met with something I thought was already lost - humanity. People prioritize others over themselves while shopping. They even greet each other despite having never met. Sometimes we have to lose something to gain something more valuable.

Hardly earned humanity from every single point of view.
 
199
80
NAS
DS216+II, DS118
Router
RT2600ac, MR2200ac
Operating system
Windows
Mobile operating system
Android
I must say, it feels weird looking up in the sky (here in the Netherlands) and not seeing any airplane stripes anymore.

Al this climate talk in the last years, and all of a sudden look at what's happening...

 
10
13
NAS
DS918+, DS218+(2), RS820+
Operating system
Linux, Windows
Mobile operating system
iOS
My .02 - Here in the states the flu is more of an issue than Coronavirus.....
Not the case anymore. Sure this was the headlines when you posted this but not anymore!
 

jeyare

Moderator
Supporter
903
338
NAS
1811+, 3x 1813+, 718+, 214play ... multisite Ubiquiti Unifi networks (USG-Pro,PoE,NanoHD)
Operating system
Linux, Windows
Mobile operating system
Android, iOS

jeyare

Moderator
Supporter
903
338
NAS
1811+, 3x 1813+, 718+, 214play ... multisite Ubiquiti Unifi networks (USG-Pro,PoE,NanoHD)
Operating system
Linux, Windows
Mobile operating system
Android, iOS
I forced myself to write to the Deputy Prime Minister yesterday, because I had already studied second study of state health institute to develop COVID-19 in my country. 14 days ago, these mathematicians calculated that in our country almost 50% would be infected based on the applied coefficient R0 = 4.
Follow this kind of attitude I wrote to them (14 days ago) that it was at least weird and unusable, since it wasn't even in Italy. I wrote to them reasons and recommendations for better model.

Yesterday, in the updated version of their study, I found that they counted less than R0 = 2, even R0=1.6. They counted the general population mobility parameter at 100 or 70 or 35%. What does mean? That 100/70/30 percent of the population will move everyday from home to somewhere - for whole population same mobility index! OMG is a beautiful example of when mathematicians create a model that is mathematically correct, but too far from reality.
Obviously nobody used benchmark data from territorial units (regions, districts) of individual countries in the EU, because we would otherwise gain a new Lombardy here follow the verdicts from the study. To be sure for the country where daily increment of the infected are under 10% from March 22nd and Median of the daily increment (7 days period) is under 10% more than 14 days. Even more available benchmarks. Insufficient Data interpretation frequently leads to mistakes. Bad, bad
 

Create an account or login to comment

You must be a member in order to leave a comment

Create account

Create an account on our community. It's easy!

Log in

Already have an account? Log in here.

Thread starter Similar threads Forum Date
jeyare The Lounge

Welcome to SynoForum.com!

SynoForum.com is an unofficial Synology forum for NAS owners and enthusiasts.

Registration is free, easy and fast!

Latest posts

Top